This is in response to Noah's article found here.
Noah claims that weed is indeed a gateway drug. This implies one of two things: cannabis is the cause of further drug use, at least to some degree; or cannabis is the first (nationally illegal) drug people tend to take.
Though true in some cases, the first of the two implications is by-enlarge false. Granted, there will definitely be some circumstances in which one is encouraged to move on towards harder drugs because of marijuana. However, on the scale of the whole population of drug users, the vast majority of them were not caused to use harder drugs because of prior cannabis use.
As detailed here (towards the bottom of the study) and here, the largest foreign cause - that is a cause not related to the finances, biology, or traumatic experiences of the drug user - towards increased use of harder drugs is the culture associated with using drugs. Meaning, the very fact that cannabis is illegal causes more hard drug use. The very fact that cannabis users have to go to a dealer who may also sell hard drugs causes the pot-smokers to have a higher rate of hard drug use. If cannabis wasn't illegal, then the pot-smokers wouldn't have to participate in the underground to smoke cannabis, they then wouldn't associate with those who use and sell harder drugs, and hence they wouldn't be exposed to hard drugs any more than the general population. Without the influence of the hard drug culture, the cannabis user is far less likely to move on towards other hard drugs.
Of the dichotomy aforementioned, the second option is almost entirely true.
Cannabis is the first 'drug' people tend to take. In reality, cannabis is actually only the first nationally illegal drug people tend to take. Of those who have used cannabis, the average age people first used the drug is 17. The average age cigarette smokers first smoked cigarettes is 14. Since most of those who smoke marijuana have also smoked cigarettes, tobacco is actually the first drug in this gateway drug theory. So, ideally the crusade should be aimed at tobacco; which is far more addictive, far more deadly, and overall more detrimental to society as a whole.
Another key statistic is the fact that those who used cigarettes but didn't use marijuana when they were youth have a similar percentage of usage of harder drugs as those who used both marijuana and tobacco. Taking the 'marijuana step' out of the gateway drug theory has little to no effect on usage of harder drugs. This is not suggesting that cigarette usage does; when the same thing is done but with tobacco, the results are the same: Those who used marijuana but not tobacco have a similar percentage of harder drug use when compared to those who used both tobacco and marijuana. Hence, neither tobacco nor marijuana (nor alcohol for that matter) have the effect of increasing ones likelihood to use harder drugs. In logic this fallacy is called cum hoc ergo propter hoc, and post hoc ergo propter hoc.
The case could also be made that caffeine, high amounts of sugar, or fatty foods are really the 'first' gateway drug, as all three of those substances have a similar effect and are used in similar circumstances as 'regular' drugs. All three are unhealthy; all three are often used to alleviate stress; all three cause some amount of pleasure; and all three are to some extant addictive. For the same reasons listed above, none of these three vices have the effect of causing further usage of other substances.
This means that those who eventually go on to use hard drugs do so for the following reasons: One, they were exposed to the hard, illegal drug culture in some way or experienced creative 'marketing techniques' administered by the dealer. Two, they experienced traumatic events in childhood such as abuse, thus predisposing them to search for substances to dull the pain. Three, they in some way for whatever reason identify with drugs and/or the state of highness associated with them. In all three reasons, the usage of marijuana neither causes nor by-enlarge further exacerbates drug usage.
Another conclusion of the study above is that criminalization of cannabis doesn't decrease use of said cannabis. Neither criminalization nor decriminalization of cannabis decreases or increases the use of cannabis, respectively. By-enlarge, the legal status of cannabis, at least in modern times, is divergent of the willingness of people to use the drug. I think this was also the conclusion of the "Reuters" article Noah critiqued. This has to do with the way our culture views cannabis specifically. The fact that cannabis is less dangerous than alcohol and less addictive than cigarettes has led our society to appropriately view cannabis as less harmful than those substances. Hence, our relatively widespread use of cannabis.
On to Noah's second point.
The assertion, "the idea that you will be able to regulate a drug that you have legalized that is already extremely difficult to regulate when illegal is fallacious," is itself fallacious. Legalizing by definition makes those who were once secretive about their usage more open to their usage, less secretive. The more open society is about what it does, the easier it is to address, and regulate, whatever 'it' is. Also, if someone has an option between two products, the only difference of which is the status of their legality, the person will most often choose the legal one. Therefore, if a person in say Colorado wants to buy weed, they will buy it from the state sponsored stores, rather than from the person down the street who is selling it illegally. Hence, legalization makes something easier to regulate rather than harder.
The proposition to put the tax money from marijuana into education is probably one of the smartest I've heard from government in a long while. The reason that will decrease marijuana usage in the long run is simple: people with higher levels, or a better quality of education also have a lower rate of all drug usage.
On to Noah's third point.
Overall this argument is a slippery slope. Noah didn't use one piece of evidence indicating that the next direction of the pro-legalization forces is legalization of hard drugs. It was pure speculation.
The reason the pro-legalization forces won't by-enlarge move on to legalize hard drugs is because there isn't an argument to be made for legalizing hard drugs. With marijuana, along with other soft drugs, the argument integral to legalization is the fact that the detriments associated with cannabis usage are few. The same cannot be said of hard drugs. That is what differentiates them from each other. Hence, those looking to legalize hard drugs won't have the same battle as those looking to legalize cannabis.
Noah's fourth point is entirely dependent on his third one. Hence, its falsity.
However, ad hoc, I will refute some of the argument.
An economic argument first proposed by Milton Friedman for legalizing all drugs refutes your assertions well. The argument is geared towards harder, addictive drugs; rather than softer, less-addictive drugs. I will break the argument into premises.
(1)The current demand of drugs, disregarding natural fluctuations or general trends, is inelastic. Addictive drugs create a (seeming) necessity of those drugs to the users.
(2)The supply of drugs once legalized will increase.
(3)The demand, however, will not increase; due to inelasticity.
(4)Therefore prices of drugs will decrease.
(5)Lower prices reduce profits for drug dealers
(6)Lower profits decrease the amount of freedom the dealer has to pursue aggressive marketing techniques, such as free samples.
(7)Less aggressive marketing techniques lower the rate of first time drug users.
(8)Therefore legalizing drugs decreases usage over time.
Also, it isn't an ad hominem argument; it's a slippery slope argument, an ad consequentiam, or an ad passiones argument, or all three depending on how you meant it.
I know this wasn't a conventional article, but to be honest, Noah is a better writer than most newspaper writers.
I personally don't believe that legalizing marijuana will decrease the overall usage of itself just because people will be more educated. That's like saying "The drinking of Alcoholic beverages will decrease as people become more educated," which is obviously wrong, why would being more educated cause people to smoke, drink, or chew less than they do now? Lots of people, smart people drink, and smoke. Legalizing marijuana will never solve the problem of eliminating the hard use of the drug or drugs by gangs.
ReplyDeleteThere will always be those hard core smokers and drinkers.
Sending tax money to the Education of our people is nice, but as with all politics like this excerpt from philly.com: "Politically, Democrats favor it because, well, Democrats always embrace "change." That's how they're built. Libertarians will like it because it's less government in their private practices. Republicans (from tea party to moderate) ought to like it because it doesn't affect them, because none of them toke. (Yeah, right.)"
I'm still against the legalization of marijuana.
Statistically speaking, higher educated people have a lower rate of marijuana usage. They also have lower rates of both alcohol usage and tobacco usage. Hence, if people become more educated the rates of marijuana usage will likely decline.
ReplyDeleteGood argument. Just a question about the decrease in marijuana usage in the long run. Just as you commented about how statistically higher educated people have lower rates of marijuana usage, won't there also be an increase of marijuana users with the legalization of marijuana? Wouldn't that, in correspondence with that statistic, mean there will be less higher educated people since there will be an increased number of marijuana users?
ReplyDeleteIt is a slippery slope argument to say that legalization of marijuana will decrease over time. There will be definite increases in marijuana usage directly following its legalization, and possible increases over time if as a culture and society we accept it. But primarily it's a slippery slope since its all primarily theories on both sides of the argument, with the ability to either increase or decrease marijuana usage, or could balance each other out.
So yes, there are sound reasons that factor into a decrease in marijuana usage, but there are also sound reasons that factor into an increase of marijuana.
I'm confused on another thing you pointed out at the end, Milton Friedman's argument point no. 7, "Less aggressive marketing techniques lower the rate of first time drug users". My question is how will legalization of marijuana create less aggressive marketing techniques? Won't it do the opposite?
In address to your first point, in this circumstance the cause-and-effect relationship doesn't work the other way around. Education doesn't decrease because of an increase in marijuana usage.
DeleteIt's not really a slippery slope to say that over time marijuana usage will decrease if education levels increase. The relationship between education levels and marijuana usage rates is relatively well established. In one of the studies cited in the article, it was shown how the legality of marijuana doesn't have a significant impact of the number of people who use marijuana. Granted, within the first couple of months there may be a spike in the data of marijuana usage, however in the long term the rates will be relatively unaffected. So, since in the long term the rates will remain relatively the same as they were prior to legalization, and since increased education will likely lower marijuana usage rates, the rate of marijuana usage will lower over time.
Milton Friedman's argument is directed at addictive drugs, marijuana isn't really an addictive drug. The reason why I posted it was to show refute a single aspect of Noah's original post. But, essentially if there is more supply of a commodity, but not more demand, then profits decrease. Hence the dealer has less lee-way to try and get people to try his product. Essentially the dealer has to run a tighter shift.
“It's not really a slippery slope to say that over time marijuana usage will decrease if education levels increase”. That by itself may not be a slippery slope according to your statistic.
ReplyDeleteAnd by what you’ve said, since in the long term the rates will remain relatively the same as they were prior to legalization, the rate of marijuana usage will decrease in response to an increase in higher educated individuals.
Sounds like a slippery slope to me if you base the increase in education due to taxes from marijuana then decreasing the rate of marijuana usage. I agree that more money towards education will raise the education of the people as a whole, but that doesn’t entirely mean that it will raise the number of highly educated individuals. In addition, the percentage of highly educated individuals is low. So the actual effect it would have in a decrease of marijuana usage would be relatively low.
I also question the effect tax money on marijuana will have on the number of these highly educated individuals. And though the relationship between education levels and marijuana usage rates is relatively well established, the relationship between marijuana tax money upping the number of highly educated people is nearly extraneous. Assuming more funds toward education does in fact up the number of these individuals, the only way it could apply is if the tax money is enough to substantially increase the number of higher educated people. How much money is needed in education to substantially up the number of highly educated individuals? We don’t know. How much money will the government make from taxing marijuana? Possibly a lot, but maybe not enough. The government has the ability to do whatever it wants with the money they receive from marijuana taxes. Is it likely that they use this money for something else they “need” or want. Yes. How much will go towards education? Will any go to education?
With these questions, I find it a slippery slope to say that overtime marijuana usage will decrease in response the legalization and tax on marijuana because it will increase the number of highly educated individuals.
I think the misunderstanding originates from the fact that education levels affect marijuana usage rates in a continuation, rather than a gradation. I didn't make it clear in the article so that is my fault. Also I'm assuming that you mean the slippery slope fallacy, as opposed to just a slippery slope that is not fallacious. I will explain more further in the comment.
ReplyDeleteBack to the continuation-gradation thing, there isn't some arbitrary amount of education required to diminish marijuana usage rates. People don't need to achieve "highly educated" in order to decrease their statistical likelihood of marijuana usage. Simply becoming more educated than they were before decreases their likelihood.
If I was just assuming that the tax revenue from marijuana would go towards education without any further reason as to why it would then perhaps it was a non-sequitur. However, the reason I made that assumption is because that is what they have done in both Colorado and Washington, and that is probably the wisest option available for those seeking to legalize marijuana. By tying legalization into better education the pro-legalization forces garner far more support. Hence, most serious pro-legalization movements will advocate putting the tax money of marijuana into education. Which is why the assumption that legalizing marijuana will lead to increased levels of education spending is actually a relatively sound assumption. It will most likely happen.
A slippery slope is a term used to describe an argument which starts with a relatively small or insignificant first step and leads to increasingly more and more significant steps resulting in a final step that is far larger than the first. With one little push down the edge of a hill the sledder gets faster and faster down the slippery slope eventually crashing onto a highway and getting hit by a truck. There are two variations of slippery slopes: Those that are fallacious and those that aren't. Though the prior is far more common (at least people tend to know about it more), the latter is not at all rare. The thing that differentiates the two distinct slippery slopes is whether or not the different steps are supported by sufficient evidence or not. If a particular step in an argument lacks reason for that step, then that step is called a non-sequitur. My argument, at least to my knowledge doesn't contain any non-sequiturs. Hence, my argument may be classified as a slippery slope, though rather precariously, but it is definitely not fallacious. Since it is not fallacious, the declaration that it is a slippery slope doesn't have any real rhetorical value.
The non-fallacious version of a slippery slope, I think, still doesn't apply to my argument. To me, the largest step is the first step: legalization of marijuana. After that first step, all the other steps seem to be less significant than the first.
Aha I didn't know "slippery slope" was an actual term, I just thought it meant something close iffy argument, or hardly supported argument. My bad. Thanks for explaining the terminology. Your point about the slippery slope argument makes sense to me now.
ReplyDeleteWhat got me stuck about higher education means less marijuana usage, were personal experiences. I've talked people who've smoke marijuana and from what they've said, I think reason that higher educated people have a lower rate of marijuana usage is because its illegal. This is not an established statistic or anything but is what I know on a personal level.
I know a lot of people that smoke pot back where I used to live. It is true, even with the higher educated who smoked pot, that the smarter more educated kids, used pot less or not at all compared to those from poorer areas with less education. But among the higher educated kids that smoked marijuana, their primary reason for not smoking often was because they didn't want to be caught by parents or the police. They were much other reasons, all originating from being caught or fearing some consequence by parents. This group of people were few amidst the regular marijuana users. Among the average kids who smoked marijuana (who could be considered higher educated), they either didn't care about it's legality and smoked when they pleased, or they mostly cared about getting caught by there parents. This group of kids are the majority of marijuana users. This is not an established statistic or anything but is what I know on a personal level.
Maybe clouding my argument as a whole extending to the nation, but because what my personal knowledge is of marijuana users, the statistic "higher educated people have a lower rate of marijuana usage" seems somewhat inapplicable. In my circumstance with the people that I knew in Indiana, the fact that marijuana is illegal, fosters higher educated people to have lower rates of marijuana usage.
When it comes to being caught by parents, marijuana will still be illegal for teenagers.
ReplyDelete